Lateral collision risk model based on CNS position error
Article Text (Baidu Translation)
-
摘要: 为了有效地确定航路安全间隔与评估碰撞风险, 研究了基于通信、导航、监视(CNS) 定位误差的侧向碰撞风险问题。运用多维随机变量协方差矩阵, 给出了CNS性能环境下侧向定位误差分布函数, 建立了给定间隔下基于CNS定位误差的侧向碰撞风险模型, 并对侧向碰撞风险进行了评估计算。计算结果表明: 某航路侧向碰撞风险为4.8×10-13, 在安全目标水平5.0×10-9之内, 因此, 该航路在现有的CNS性能环境下满足安全目标水平要求。Abstract: In order to confirm the safe separation of routes and evaluate the collision risk effectively, the lateral collision risk based on CNS (communication, navigation and surveillance) position error was studied.The multi-dimensional random variable covariance matrix was applied to gain the distribution function of the lateral position error under CNS environment, then the lateral collision risk model under CNS position error was established, and an example was calculated.Analysis result shows that the lateral collision risk of studied route is 4.8×10-13, which is in the safety target level of 5.0×10-9, so the route under existing CNS environment is safe.
-
[1] REICHP G. Analysis of long-range air traffic systems: separ-ation standards-Ⅰ[J]. Journal of the Institute of Navigation, 1966, 19 (1): 88-98. doi: 10.1017/S037346330004056X [2] REICH P G. Analysis of long-range air traffic systems: separ-ation standards-Ⅱ[J]. Journal of the Institute of Navigation, 1966, 19 (2): 169-186. doi: 10.1017/S0373463300047196 [3] REICH P G. Analysis of long-range air traffic systems: separ-ation standards-Ⅲ[J]. Journal of the Institute of Navigation, 1966, 19 (3): 331-347. doi: 10.1017/S0373463300047445 [4] BAKKER GJ, BLOM H A P. Air traffic collision risk mod-eling[C]//IEEE. Proceedings of the32nd Conference on Decision and Control. San Antonio: IEEE, 1993: 1464-1469. [5] BROOKER P. Longitudinal collisionriskfor ATC tracksystems: a hazardous event model[J]. The Journal of Navigation, 2006, 59 (1): 55-70. doi: 10.1017/S0373463305003516 [6] BLOM H A P, BAKKER G J, BLANKER P J G, et al. Accident risk assessment for advanced ATM[C]//National Aerospace Laboratory. Proceedings of the2nd USA/Europe Air Traffic Management R & amp; amp; D Seminar. Orlando: National Aerospace Laboratory, 1998: 3-26. [7] 张兆宁, 张晓燕, 李冬宾. 基于VOR导航的平行航路侧向碰撞率计算模型[J]. 交通运输工程学报, 2007, 7 (3): 21-24. doi: 10.3321/j.issn:1671-1637.2007.03.005ZHANG Zhao-ning, ZHANG Xiao-yan, LI Dong-bin. Com-putation model of lateral collision rate on parallel routes based on VORnavigation[J]. Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, 2007, 7 (3): 21-24. (in Chinese) doi: 10.3321/j.issn:1671-1637.2007.03.005 [8] 张兆宁, 黎新华, 王莉莉. 基于飞行跟驰模型的纵向安全间隔计算方法[J]. 交通运输工程学报, 2008, 8 (3): 73-76. http://transport.chd.edu.cn/article/id/200803016ZHANG Zhao-ning, LI Xin-hua, WANG Li-li. Computational method of longitudinal safety separation based on flight following theory[J]. Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, 2008, 8 (3): 73-76. (in Chinese) http://transport.chd.edu.cn/article/id/200803016 [9] ANDREWS A. Methodfor error budgeting of inertial naviga-tion systems[J]. Journal of Guidance and Control, 1979, 2 (5): 438-440. doi: 10.2514/3.55903 [10] JENKI N A B, GICK R A. Collision risk posed to the global positioning system by disposed upper stages[J]. Journal of Spacecraft and Rockets, 2006, 43 (6): 1412-1418. [11] STEPNER D E. Modeling of aircraft position errors with independent surveillance[J]. AIAA Journal, 1973, 11 (9): 1273-1278. doi: 10.2514/3.50576 [12] MOEK G, LUTZ E, MOSBERG W. Risk assessment of RNP10and RVSMin the South Atlantic flight identification regions[R]. Annapolis: ARI NC, 2001. -
下载:
点击查看大图
图(2)
计量
- 文章访问数: 564
- HTML全文浏览量: 197
- PDF下载量: 341
- 被引次数: 0
