-
摘要: 分析了30年来国内外国际航运投资决策问题, 认为对国际航运传统的或经典的投资决策方法的研究比较成熟, 将定性评价转化为定量评价的投资决策方法的研究有所进行, 但基于期权的投资决策方法的研究尚未进行。为此, 阐述了这一领域未来的研究重点与前沿问题。Abstract: The studies in the field of decision making for international shipping investment were reviewed. It is pointed out that the study on traditional method has goten a lot of achievements, the quantitative evaluation on decision making method has been used widely, but the study way based on option has not been carried out enough. The orientation of future research and the focal subjects in this field are pointed out.
-
Key words:
- international shipping /
- investment decision making /
- research /
- review
-
[1] Frankel E G. Port or shipping project appraisal under risk[J]. Maritime Policy and Management, 1989, 16(3): 213-221. doi: 10.1080/03088838900000060 [2] Ariel A. Evaluation of political risk in a shipping project[J]. Maritime Policy and Management, 1990, 17(1): 15-21. doi: 10.1080/03088839000000041 [3] 吴长仲. 航运管理[M]. 大连: 大连海运学院出版社, 1992. [4] Heaver T D. The many facets of maritime economics in asso-ciation[J]. Maritime Policy and Management, 1993, 20(2): 121-132. doi: 10.1080/03088839300000023 [5] Stopford M. Maritime Economics[M]. London: Routledge, 1997. [6] 吕靖. 国际航运投资决策[M]. 北京: 人民交通出版社, 1998. [7] Shao Ruiqing. A multi-level fuzzy synthetic evaluation frame-work for analysing investment programs in shipping[A]. In Proceeding of 2000 International Conference on Management Science & Engineering[C]. Compiled by Canada-China Coun-cil for Cooperation and Development, 2000. [8] 陈家源, 佟成权. 国际航运市场学[M]. 大连: 大连海运学院出版社, 1995. [9] 王彦, 吕靖. 国际航运经济与市场[M]. 大连: 大连海事大学出版社, 2002. [10] Frenkel E G. The economics of technological change in shipping[J]. Maritime Policy and Management, 1991, 18 (1); 43-53. doi: 10.1080/03088839100000005 [11] Lin B, Chen H. Fuzzy probability simulation research on the world ship matket[J]. Maritime Policy and Management, 1992, 19(3): 223-237. doi: 10.1080/751248663 [12] Lin S. Economics of scale in container shipping[J]. Maritime Policy and Management, 1998, 25(4): 361-373. doi: 10.1080/03088839800000059 [13] Sloggett J E. Shipping Finance[M]. London: Fairply, 1984. [14] 邵瑞庆. 国际航运业融资决策研究[J]. 水运管理, 1994, 16(4): 1-6. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-SYGL404.000.htmShao Kuiqing. A study of financing decision-making for inter-national shipping[J]. Shipping Management, 1994, 16(4): 1-6. (in Chinese) https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-SYGL404.000.htm [15] 吕靖, 张明, 李玖晖. 海运金融[M]. 北京: 人民交通出版社, 2001. [16] Goss R O, Marlow P B. Internationalism, Protectionism and Interventionism in Shipping, in Current Issues in Maritime Economics[M]. Dordrecht: Kluwer Academie Publishers, 1991. [17] Heaver T D. Workable Competition, Politics, and Competition Policy in Liner Shipping, in Current Issues in Maritime Eco-nomics[M]. Dordrecht: Kluwer Academie Publishers, 1991. [18] 孙光圻, 王杰. 国际海运政策[M]. 大连: 大连海事大学出版社, 1998. [19] Cheng P C. Financial Management in the Shipping Industry[M]. Maryland: Cornell Maritime Press, 1979. [20] Frankel E G. Management and Operations of American Ship-ping[M]. Auburn House Publishing Company, 1982. [21] 谢连新. 船舶调度与船队规划方法[M]. 北京: 人民交通出版社, 2000. [22] Evens J J. Some practical aspects of investment appraisal inshipping[J]. Maritime Policy and Management, 1984, 11(3): 197-222. doi: 10.1080/03088838400000017 [23] Goss K O. Assessing investments m shipping: a modular ap-proach[J]. Maritime Policy and Management, 1987, 14 (3): 197-225. doi: 10.1080/03088838700000031 [24] Andreassen J A. Risk and investment decisions in nonlinershipping[J]. Maritime Policy and Management, 1990, 17(1): 23-30. doi: 10.1080/03088839000000042 [25] Papadopoulos P A. Applications of probability theory to ma-rine project appraisal[J]. Maritime Policy and Management, 1994, 21(2): 103-123. doi: 10.1080/03088839400000028 [26] Frankel E G. Hierarchical logic in shipping policy and deci-sion-making[J]. Maritime Policy and Management, 1992, 19(3): 211-221. doi: 10.1080/751248662 [27] Teng J, Tzeng G. Fuzzy multicriteria ranking of urban trans-portation investment alterntives[J]. Transportation Planning and Technology, 1996, 20(1): 15-31. doi: 10.1080/03081069608717577 [28] Hsu T. Public transport system project evaluation using the analytic hierarchy process: a fuzzy delphi approach[J]. Transportation Planning and Technology, 1999, 23(3): 229-246. [29] 徐剑华. 运输船舶投资决策中的不确定性与风险分析[J]. 上海海运学院学报, 1983, 5(3): 16-36. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-SHHY198303002.htmXu Jianhua. Analysis of uncertainty and risk in investment de-cision-making for merchant ships[J]. Journal of Shanghai Maritime University, 1983, 5(3): 16-36. (in Chinese) https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-SHHY198303002.htm [30] 张兰水. 航运企业投资项目评价中基准收益率的研究[J]. 大连海运学院学报, 1991, 17(2): 78-83. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-DLHS199101013.htmZhang Lanshui. A study of criterion rate of return on project investment appraisal of shipping enterprises[J]. Journal of Dalian Maritime University, 1991, 17 (2): 78-83. (in Chinese) https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-DLHS199101013.htm [31] 姚伟福. 航运项目投资决策风险分析初探[J]. 上海海运学院学报, 1991, 13(2): 54-59. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-SHHY701.009.htmYao Weifu. A study of risk analysis of investment decision of marine project[J]. Journal of Shanghai Maritime University, 1991, 13(2): 54-59. (in Chinese) https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-SHHY701.009.htm [32] 邵瑞庆. 船舶投融资综合决策的分析研究[J]. 交通财会, 1999, 14(8): 4-6. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-JTCK199908002.htmShao Ruiqing. A study of analysis of combining ship investing with financing[J]. Finance & Accounting for Communications, 1999, 14(8): 4 6. (in Chinese) https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-JTCK199908002.htm [33] 傅祥浩. 船舶经济寿命计算方法的关键[J]. 上海海运学院学报, 1984, 6(1): 1-17.Fu Xianghao. An analysis of different methods of estimating the economic life of a ship[J]. Journal of Shanghai Maritime University, 1984, 6(1): 1-17. (in Chinese) [34] 顾家骏. 船舶的无形损耗与使用年限[J]. 上海船舶运输科学研究所学报, 1988, 22(2): 23-31. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-JTYS198802002.htmGu Jiajun. The invisible wear tear and the service life of ship[J]. Journal of Shanghai Ship and Shipping Research Institute, 1988, 22(2): 23-31. (in Chinese) https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-JTYS198802002.htm [35] 杨华龙, 吴桂林. 船舶折旧及航运企业经营策略探讨[J]. 大连海事大学学报, 1996, 22(1): 80-83. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-DLHS601.018.htmYANG Hualong, WU Guilin. On the depreciation of ships and the operation strategy of shipping enterprises[J]. Journal of Dalian Maritime University, 1996, 22 (1): 80-83. (in Chinese) https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-DLHS601.018.htm [36] 吕靖. 船舶维修费用支出与经济寿命最优控制模型[J]. 大连海事大学学报, 1997, 23(2): 78-80. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-DLHS702.019.htmLu Jing. Optimal control model of ship's maintenance expense and economic lifetime[J]. Journal of Dalian Maritime University, 1997, 23(2): 78-80. (in Chinese) https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-DLHS702.019.htm
点击查看大图
计量
- 文章访问数: 273
- HTML全文浏览量: 86
- PDF下载量: 201
- 被引次数: 0