-
摘要: 分析了轨道交通对沿线房地产价格的作用机理和增值效应影响因素, 基于Alonso的住宅区位理论, 提出了轨道交通对其沿线房价增值的测算模型。以居民追求生活总费用最低为平衡条件, 将住宅费用与交通费用之间进行“互换”, 并考虑到住宅费用和交通费用支出在时间上的差异性, 利用收益还原法, 计算由于轨道交通建设后沿线的住宅房产增值量, 并以西安地铁二号线为例进行了测算。计算结果表明: 地铁沿线的楼盘距离城市中心越远, 其房价的增值空间越大, 西安地铁二号线对沿线的房价增值影响平均为10%。Abstract: The internal mechanism and contributory factors on the impact of rail transit on the price of residential real estate alongside rail transit were analyzed, and a quantitative model was proposed to measure the influence based on Alonso's Residential Location Theory.In this model, the lowest living costs of residents were taken as equilibrium condition, housing costs and trip costs were exchanged, and their differences of defraying times were taken into account.The price increase of residential real estate caused by rail transit operation was measured by using income capitalization approach, and the proposed model was used in Xi'an Metro Line 2.Calculation result shows that the longer the distance from urban center is, the higher the price increase of residential real estate alongside rail transit is, and the impact of Xi'an Metro Line 2 on the price increase of real estate is 10% averagely.
-
表 1 无轨道交通下各站点至市中心的交通费用
Table 1. Transport costs from stations to city center without rail transit
站点 距离/km 车内时间/min 停站时间/min 候车时间/min 时间成本/元 票价/元 出行广义费用/(元·次-1) 总交通费/(元·年-1) 北客站 12.8 38.5 19.5 5.0 10.6 0.5 11.1 28 536.5 运动公园 10.3 30.9 15.2 5.0 8.7 0.5 9.2 23 678.1 凤城五路 8.0 23.9 10.8 5.0 6.9 0.5 7.4 19 047.1 大明宫西 5.3 15.8 6.5 5.0 5.0 0.5 5.5 14 006.9 安远门 2.5 7.6 3.3 5.0 3.2 0.5 3.7 9 413.8 南稍门 1.9 5.8 2.2 5.0 2.7 0.5 3.2 8 250.4 体育场 2.9 8.8 4.3 5.0 3.6 0.5 4.1 10 383.9 纬一街 5.5 16.4 7.6 5.0 5.3 0.5 5.8 14 738.3 三爻 8.7 26.0 11.9 5.0 7.4 0.5 7.9 20 347.0 航天城 11.8 35.4 16.3 5.0 9.6 0.5 10.1 25 887.5 韦曲南 13.2 39.6 20.6 5.0 11.0 0.5 11.5 29 427.0 表 2 有轨道交通下各站点至市中心的交通费用
Table 2. Transport costs from stations to city center with rail transit
站点 距离/km 车内时间/min 停站时间/min 候车时间/min 时间成本/元 票价/元 出行广义费用/(元·次-1) 总交通费/(元·年-1) 北客站 12.8 14.3 8.3 2.0 4.2 3.0 7.2 18 361.1 运动公园 10.3 11.4 6.4 2.0 3.4 3.0 6.4 16 457.9 凤城五路 8.0 8.8 4.6 2.0 2.7 3.0 5.7 14 638.8 大明宫西 5.3 5.8 2.8 2.0 1.9 2.0 3.9 10 105.9 安远门 2.5 2.8 0.9 2.0 1.2 2.0 3.2 8 118.4 南稍门 1.9 2.1 0.9 2.0 1.1 2.0 3.1 7 870.0 体育场 2.9 3.3 1.8 2.0 1.4 2.0 3.4 8 712.2 纬一街 5.5 6.1 3.7 2.0 2.1 3.0 5.1 13 173.5 三爻 8.7 9.6 5.5 2.0 3.0 3.0 6.0 15 354.7 航天城 11.8 13.1 7.3 2.0 3.8 3.0 6.8 17 510.6 韦曲南 13.2 14.7 8.3 2.0 4.2 3.0 7.2 18 508.5 表 3 西安地铁二号线对沿线住宅增值效益
Table 3. Price increases of residential real estates alongside Xi'an Metro Line 2
站点 距离/km 交通费用差/(元·年-1) 住宅增值/(元·m-2) 北客站 12.8 10 175.3 918.5 运动公园 10.3 7 220.2 651.8 凤城五路 8.0 4 408.3 397.9 大明宫西 5.3 3 901.0 352.1 安远门 2.5 1 295.3 116.9 南稍门 1.9 380.3 34.3 体育场 2.9 1 671.8 150.9 纬一街 5.5 1 564.8 141.2 三爻 8.7 4 992.3 450.6 航天城 11.8 8 376.9 756.2 韦曲南 13.2 10 918.5 985.6 -
[1] VOITH R. Transportation, sorting and house values[J]. Journal of the American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, 1991, 19(2): 117-137. doi: 10.1111/1540-6229.00545 [2] BENJAMIN J D, SIRMANS G S. Mass transportation, apartment rent and property values[J]. The Journal of Real Estate Research, 1996, 12(1): 1-8. doi: 10.1080/10835547.1996.12090830 [3] KNAAP G J, DING C, HOPKINS L D. Do plans matter? the effects of light rail plans on land values in station areas[J]. Journal of Planning Education and Research, 2001, 21(1): 32-39. doi: 10.1177/0739456X0102100103 [4] PIOR M Y, SHIMIZU E. GIS-aided evaluation system for infrastructure improvements: focusing on simple hedonic and Rosen's two-step approaches[J]. Computers, Environment and Urban Systems, 2001, 25(3): 223-246. [5] 江永, 叶霞飞, 王治. 上海轨道交通1号线对沿线房地产价格的影响范围研究[J]. 城市轨道交通研究, 2007, 10(2): 28-31. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-GDJT200702007.htmJIANG Yong, YE Xia-fei, WANG Zhi. Impact area of Shanghai Rail Transit Line 1 on development benefits[J]. Urban Mass Transit, 2007, 10(2): 28-31. (in Chinese) https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-GDJT200702007.htm [6] 梁青槐, 孔令洋, 邓文斌. 城市轨道交通对沿线住宅价值影响定量计算实例研究[J]. 土木工程学报, 2007, 40(4): 98-103. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-TMGC200704017.htmLIANG Qing-huai, KONG Ling-yang, DENG Wen-bin. Impact of URT on real estate value: the case of Beijing Metro Line 13[J]. China Civil Engineering Journal, 2007, 40(4): 98-103. (in Chinese) https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-TMGC200704017.htm [7] 王花兰, 周伟, 王元庆. 交通发展对中心城市空间扩展的影响[J]. 长安大学学报: 自然科学版, 2007, 27(4): 79-83. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-XAGL200704017.htmWANG Hua-lan, ZHOU Wei, WANG Yuan-qing. Influence of transportation between central city and satellite city on urban spatial expansion[J]. Journal of Chang an University: Natural Science Edition, 2007, 27(4): 79-83. (in Chinese) https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-XAGL200704017.htm [8] 夏晓梅, 范炳全. 基于广义费用的多用户公路网平衡配流模型[J]. 交通运输工程学报, 2009, 9(3): 76-80. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-JYGC200903017.htmXIA Xiao-mei, FAN Bing-quan. Multi-user highway network equilibrium model based on generalized cost[J]. Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, 2009, 9(3): 76-80. (in Chinese) https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-JYGC200903017.htm [9] 王健, 安实, 徐亚国. 道路拥挤定价下的公交收费模型研究[J]. 中国公路学报, 2005, 18(4): 100-103, 118. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-ZGGL200504020.htmWANGJian, AN Shi, XU Ya-guo. Study of bus toll model under urban road congestion pricing[J]. China Journal of Highway and Transport, 2005, 18(4): 100-103, 118. (in Chinese) https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-ZGGL200504020.htm [10] 周伟. 旅客时间价值[J]. 交通运输工程学报, 2003, 3(3): 110-116. doi: 10.3321/j.issn:1671-1637.2003.03.025ZHOU Wei. Time value of passengers[J]. Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, 2003, 3(3): 110-116. (in Chinese) doi: 10.3321/j.issn:1671-1637.2003.03.025 [11] 吕慎, 李旭宏. 城市客运换乘枢纽设施布局效用分析[J]. 东南大学学报: 自然科学版, 2006, 36(6): 1024-1028. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-DNDX200606029.htmLU Shen, LI Xu-hong. Utility analysis of facilities layout alternatives of urban intermodal passenger transfer points[J]. Journal of Southeast University: Natural Science Edition, 2006, 36(6): 1024-1028. (in Chinese) https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-DNDX200606029.htm