基于DEA的公路建设有效性纵向评价

张春梅; 马占新

doi:10.19818/j.cnki.1671-1637.2010.04.016

基于DEA的公路建设有效性纵向评价

doi: 10.19818/j.cnki.1671-1637.2010.04.016

张春梅^1,,
马占新²

1.
内蒙古大学交通学院, 内蒙古呼和浩特 010023
2.
内蒙古大学经济管理学院, 内蒙古呼和浩特 010023

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金项目 70961005

内蒙古自治区自然科学基金项目 20080404MS1005

详细信息

作者简介:
张春梅(1970-), 女, 内蒙古呼和浩特人, 内蒙古大学副教授, 从事交通运输规划与管理研究

中图分类号: U491.12
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出版历程
- 收稿日期: 2010-02-14
- 刊出日期: 2010-08-25

Longitudinal evaluation of highway construction effectiveness based on DEA

ZHANG Chun-mei^1
,,
MA Zhan-xin²

1.
School of Transportation, Inner Mongolia University, Huhhot 010023, Inner Mongolia, China
2.
School of Economics and Management, Inner Mongolia University, Huhhot 010023, Inner Mongolia, China

More Information

Author Bio:
ZHANG Chun-mei(1970-), female, associate professor, +86-471-3336971, zhangchunm@sina.com

摘要

摘要: 应用DEA方法中的C2R模型和C2GS2模型, 以内蒙古地区2000~2008年9个年度作为决策单元, 提出了适合DEA方法的公路建设输入输出指标, 对内蒙古地区9年的公路建设情况进行了整体有效性、技术有效性和投影测度分析, 并提出了相关改善措施。分析结果表明: 内蒙古地区在2004年和2008年两年整体有效, 达到投入产出的最佳组合; 其他年份规模收益递增, 继续增加投入可得到更大的产出; 9年内仍有2003、2006、2007年技术无效, 内蒙古地区在加大公路建设投入的同时要加强管理, 注重技术引进和应用。
- 公路建设 /
- 数据包络分析 /
- 纵向评价 /
- 决策单元 /
- 评价指标体系
Abstract: The C2R and C2GS2 models of DEA method were used, the decision-making units of evaluation were 9 years from 2000 to 2008 in Inner Mongdia, and the input and output indicators of highway construction were put forward.The overall effectiveness, technical efficiency and projection measure of highway construction were evaluated by appropriate DEA method, and efficiency improvement measure was proposed.Analysis result shows that the inputs and outputs of highway construction in Inner Mongolia are best in 2004 and 2008, and their overall effectivenesses are valid.In other years, there are increasing returns to scale, and increasing investments can get better output.Technical efficiencies are invalid in 2003, 2006 and 2007, highway construction management need be enhanced while the investment is increasing, and the introduction and application of new technology should be emphasized in Inner Mongolia.
- highway construction /
- data envelopment analysis /
- longitudinal evaluation /
- decesion-making unit /
- evaluation index system

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表 1 内蒙古地区公路建设投入与产出

Table 1. Inputs and outputs of Inner Mongolia highway

DMU	年份	公路网总里程/km	公路运输汽车拥有辆(10⁴veh)	客运周转量(10⁸人·km)	货运周转量(10⁸t·km)
1	2000	67 346	20.87	116.3	211.8
2	2001	70 408	21.24	121.9	220.3
3	2002	72 673	23.91	130.7	231.4
4	2003	74 135	25.38	122.2	241.9
5	2004	75 976	34.95	155.3	269.8
6	2005	124 465	22.80	179.0	323.4
7	2006	128 762	26.67	199.5	384.1
8	2007	138 610	26.86	219.5	492.0
9	2008	147 000	29.70	260.2	656.9

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表 2 C²R模型评价结果

Table 2. Evaluation results of C²R model

DMU	年份	θ^*	S₁^-	S₂^-	S₁⁺	S₂⁺	∑λ_j^*	整体有效性	规模收益
1	2000	0.916 274	0.000	0	0	40.291 200	0.583 86	无效	递增
2	2001	0.922 896	0.000	0	0	47.060 180	0.601 65	无效	递增
3	2002	0.944 071	0.000	0	0	44.219 870	0.681 49	无效	递增
4	2003	0.858 908	0.000	0	0	10.871 000	0.653 41	无效	递增
5	2004	1.000 000	0.000	0	0	0.000 000	1.000 00	有效	不变
6	2005	0.885 584	1 040.982	0	0	128.502 700	0.687 93	无效	递增
7	2006	0.872 538	0.000	0	0	115.992 200	0.778 47	无效	递增
8	2007	0.974 701	0.000	0	0	1.050 789	0.991 96	无效	递增
9	2008	1.000 000	0.000	0	0	0.000 000	1.000 00	有效	不变

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表 3 C²GS²模型计算结果

Table 3. Calculation results of C²GS²model

DMU	年份	θ^*	S₁^-	S₂^-	S₁⁺	S₂⁺	技术有效性
1	2000	1.000 000	0	0	0.000 00	0.000 00	有效
2	2001	1.000 000	0	0	0.000 00	0.000 00	有效
3	2002	1.000 000	0	0	0.000 00	0.000 00	有效
4	2003	0.975 086	0	0	8.969 31	0.000 00	无效
5	2004	1.000 000	0	0	0.000 00	0.000 00	有效
6	2005	1.000 000	0	0	0.000 00	0.000 00	有效
7	2006	0.946 694	0	0	0.000 00	53.827 91	无效
8	2007	0.978 768	0	0	0.414 02	0.000 00	无效
9	2008	1.000 000	0	0	0.000 00	0.000 00	有效

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表 4 非DEA有效的DMU投影结果

Table 4. Projective results of non-efficiency DMUs in DEA

DMU	年份	公路网总里程/km	公路运输汽车拥有量(10⁴veh)	客运周转量(10⁸人·km)	货运周转量(10⁸t·km)
1	2000	61 707	19.12	116.3	252.0
2	2001	64 979	19.60	121.9	267.3
3	2002	68 608	22.57	130.7	275.6
4	2003	63 675	21.80	122.2	252.7
6	2005	99 815	20.19	179.0	451.9
7	2006	112 349	23.27	199.5	500.0
8	2007	135 103	26.18	219.5	493.1

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