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换道决策中的车辆速度估计模型

王畅 付锐 张琼

王畅, 付锐, 张琼. 换道决策中的车辆速度估计模型[J]. 交通运输工程学报, 2015, 15(6): 83-91. doi: 10.19818/j.cnki.1671-1637.2015.06.011
引用本文: 王畅, 付锐, 张琼. 换道决策中的车辆速度估计模型[J]. 交通运输工程学报, 2015, 15(6): 83-91. doi: 10.19818/j.cnki.1671-1637.2015.06.011
WANG Chang, FU Rui, ZHANG Qiong. Speed estimation model during lane-changing decision[J]. Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, 2015, 15(6): 83-91. doi: 10.19818/j.cnki.1671-1637.2015.06.011
Citation: WANG Chang, FU Rui, ZHANG Qiong. Speed estimation model during lane-changing decision[J]. Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, 2015, 15(6): 83-91. doi: 10.19818/j.cnki.1671-1637.2015.06.011

换道决策中的车辆速度估计模型

doi: 10.19818/j.cnki.1671-1637.2015.06.011
基金项目: 

长江学者和创新团队发展计划项目 IRT1286

国家自然科学基金项目 61374196

国家自然科学基金项目 61473046

交通运输部应用基础研究项目 2013 319 812 150

中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目 310822151028

中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目 2013G1502062

中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目 310821151017

详细信息
    作者简介:

    王畅(1984-), 男, 湖南岳阳人, 长安大学副教授, 工学博士, 从事车辆主动安全技术研究

  • 中图分类号: U491

Speed estimation model during lane-changing decision

More Information
    Author Bio:

    WANG Chang(1984-), male, associate professor, PhD, +86-29-82334722, wangchang@chd.edu.cn

  • 摘要: 为研究换道决策阶段驾驶人对后方车辆的速度感知特征, 以小型乘用车为平台, 利用毫米波雷达、车载总线数据仪、音视频监测系统等搭建了试验车。招募了15名驾驶人, 在某高速公路完成后方车辆速度估计试验, 试验车速度分别设置为60、70、80、90km·h-1, 最后获取了1 625组数据。采用显著性分析方法, 分析了相对速度、后方车辆速度与相对距离对驾驶人速度估计行为的影响特性。利用多元线性回归理论建立了驾驶人速度估计模型, 并对模型进行了检验。分析结果表明: 约60%的速度估计误差绝对值不大于10km·h-1, 且驾驶人的速度估计误差满足正态分布; 驾驶人速度估计误差随两车相对速度和后方车辆速度的增大而减小, 相对速度和后方车辆速度较低时, 易高估后方车辆速度, 相对速度和后方车辆速度较高时, 易低估后方车辆速度; 随两车相对距离的增大, 驾驶人速度估计误差变化趋势不显著, 但两车相对距离较小时, 驾驶人易高估后方车辆速度; 速度估计模型的平均误差为-0.56km·h-1, 因此, 估计结果可靠。

     

  • 图  1  试验场景

    Figure  1.  Test scene

    图  2  Vr分布

    Figure  2.  Distribution of Vr

    图  3  Vr正态分布检验

    Figure  3.  Verification of normal distribution of Vr

    图  4  V3分布

    Figure  4.  Distribution of V3

    图  5  不同V3Vr盒图分析

    Figure  5.  Box analysis of Vr for different values of V3

    图  6  V2分布

    Figure  6.  Distribution of V2

    图  7  不同V2Vr盒图分析

    Figure  7.  Box analysis of Vrfor different values of V2

    图  8  d分布

    Figure  8.  Distribution of d

    图  9  不同dVr盒图分析

    Figure  9.  Box analysis of Vr for different values of d

    图  10  回归模型残差分析

    Figure  10.  Residual analysis of regression model

    图  11  模型估计误差分布

    Figure  11.  Distribution of model estimation errors

    图  12  模型估计误差正态分布检验

    Figure  12.  Verification of normal distribution of model estimation errors

    表  1  驾驶人信息

    Table  1.   Driver informations

    表  2  Vr与各参数的相关性与显著性检验结果

    Table  2.   Results of correlation and significant test between Vr and other parameters

    表  3  模型检测结果

    Table  3.   Test results of model

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出版历程
  • 收稿日期:  2015-08-21
  • 刊出日期:  2015-06-25

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