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Article Navigation >  Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering  > 2018  >  18(6): 121-130
FANG De-wei, HE Dong-po, WANG Li-feng, CHEN Xi, SUN Xiang-long. Estimation method of crowding cost in urban rail transit carriages[J]. Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, 2018, 18(6): 121-130. doi: 10.19818/j.cnki.1671-1637.2018.06.013
Citation: FANG De-wei, HE Dong-po, WANG Li-feng, CHEN Xi, SUN Xiang-long. Estimation method of crowding cost in urban rail transit carriages[J]. Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, 2018, 18(6): 121-130. doi: 10.19818/j.cnki.1671-1637.2018.06.013
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Estimation method of crowding cost in urban rail transit carriages

doi: 10.19818/j.cnki.1671-1637.2018.06.013

  • School of Civil Engineering, Northeast Forestry University, Harbin 150040, Heilongjiang, China

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  • Author Bio:

    FANG De-wei(1978-), male, lecturer, PhD, fdw@nefu.edu.cn

    HE Dong-po(1962-), male, professor, hdp@nefu.edu.cn

  • Received Date: 2018-07-28
  • Publish Date: 2018-12-25
    Abstract
  • The discrete choice analysis and contingent valuation method were used to design a double-bounded dichotomous questionnaire to calculate the total generalized cost of rail transit, including the crowding degrees.The passenger densities in the carriage was reduced by extending the travel time of passengers in the carriage, and the equivalent travel efficiencies were obtained under different crowding degrees in the carriage.The passengers' choice probability for two rounds of bidding was obtained from the questionnaire feedback.The bivariate probit estimators and random utility estimators were used to deduce the standardized value of the time marginal disutility, and then the time multiplier was obtained to estimate the passengers' willingness to travel longer and the willingness to pay.Based on the data obtained from the survey of 15 representative platforms of Beijing Metro Lines 1and 5in 2015-2016, a linear regression analysis was made for the time multiplier under six crowding degrees in the rail transit carriage.Analysis result shows that there is a linear relationship between the passenger density in the carriage and the time multiplier, but an inverse proportion between the crowding degrees after improvementand the generalized cost in the carriage.Traveler's willingness to pay increases with the reduction of crowding degree in the carriage.When the crowding degree improves from 5 person·m-2 to 4 person·m-2, the willingness to pay for peak hours in the morning and evening is RMB 1.58 and 3.02, respectively.When the crowding degree improves from 5 person·m-2 to 3.5 person·m-2, the willingness to pay for peak hours in the morning and evening increase to RMB 2.47 and 4.99, respectively.Therefore, traveler's average payment willingness in the evening peak is approximate twice that in the morning peak, and there are significant differences in the payment willingness for the improved crowding degree at different periods.

     

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