YAN Sheng-yu, XIAO Run-mou, YANG Ming. Statistical approach for the region-oriented volume of freight transport on highway[J]. Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, 2020, 20(6): 210-217. doi: 10.19818/j.cnki.1671-1637.2020.06.018
Citation: YAN Sheng-yu, XIAO Run-mou, YANG Ming. Statistical approach for the region-oriented volume of freight transport on highway[J]. Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, 2020, 20(6): 210-217. doi: 10.19818/j.cnki.1671-1637.2020.06.018

Statistical approach for the region-oriented volume of freight transport on highway

doi: 10.19818/j.cnki.1671-1637.2020.06.018
Funds:

National Natural Science Foundation of China 52002282

Transportation Strategic and Planning Policy Project 2020-23-3

Fundamental Research Fundsfor the Central Universities 300102229110

More Information
  • Author Bio:

    YAN Sheng-yu(1987-), male, associate professor, PhD, Leo9574@163.com

  • Received Date: 2020-07-22
  • Publish Date: 2020-06-25
  • The concept of region-oriented freight transportation volume was proposed. Non-commercial trucks and nonlocal trucks were included in the statistics category of the region-oriented freight transportation volume, and the basic data sets were summarized. The factors of the registration place, usage, level of the highway network, and traffic flow direction of the vehicles were analyzed. Statistical thoughts and splitting logic of the freight transportation volume, and statistical models of freight volume and freight turnover volume were developed. Based on the freight volume of registered local commercial trucks, a scale index of region-oriented freight volume was created and used to evaluate the relative offset degree and involvement of nonlocal trucks. Analysis results show that when the limit error is controlled within 10%, the region-oriented freight volume can be evaluated exactly by five basic data sets: special survey data on freight transport, expressway network toll collection data, sample survey data of highway, traffic volume survey data of highway, and truck data in the register of vehicle management. For the studied city, the proposed statistical model embodies a 0.45% relative deviation rate of the freight turnover to create GDP per ten thousand yuan with the national average level, which is consistent. The scale index of region-oriented freight volume is 2.47, which indicates that nonlocal trucks involved in local freight transportation to a high degree in cities with developed real economy. The freight transportation volume of commercial trucks registered at the local government office is not sufficient to support economic planning. However, a lack of registered trucks does not indicate an insufficient transportation capacity. The commercial trucks registered locally mainly undertake short-distance freight transportation, which accounts for 66.28% of the total in-city freight volume. Nonlocal trucks mainly undertake inter-city and inter-provincial goods, which accounts for 79.16% of the total volume. In the near future, when trucks are charged by vehicle type, the average load of each vehicle type and the rate of each loaded truck in total will be key parameters for the evaluation of the region-oriented freight transportation volume. In addition, inter-provincial disequilibrium existed in the traffic volume of trucks with 3 axles or more.

     

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