Civil aviation flight character surveillance and forewarning management

At present, some great airline companies are developing flight character surveillance.The analysis of the relevant parameter supplies the effective technical measures for flight safety and training aviators.However, the forewarning management function of the flight character surveillance needs to be enhanced.By diagnosing the management pattern and measure of civil aviation flight character surveillance, a new way of civil aviation disasters forewarning management is stated through flight character surveillance, and the forecast methods of the civil aviation flight character surveillance are discussed.The calculation results show that exponential smoothing is suitable to forecast the trend exceed the limits so as to find the early signs of civil aviation accidents and provide some basis for civil aviation disasters forewarning management.