Stochastic evaluation method on financial post-evaluation of railway construction project

ZHANG Fei-lian; CHEN Tao; SHI Feng

Volume 3 Issue 3

Turn off MathJax

Article Contents

Article Navigation > Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering > 2003 > 3(3): 36-39

Next Previous

ZHANG Fei-lian, CHEN Tao, SHI Feng. Stochastic evaluation method on financial post-evaluation of railway construction project[J]. Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, 2003, 3(3): 36-39.

Citation:

ZHANG Fei-lian, CHEN Tao, SHI Feng. Stochastic evaluation method on financial post-evaluation of railway construction project[J]. Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, 2003, 3(3): 36-39.

ZHANG Fei-lian, CHEN Tao, SHI Feng. Stochastic evaluation method on financial post-evaluation of railway construction project[J]. Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, 2003, 3(3): 36-39.

Citation:

PDF( 190 KB)

Stochastic evaluation method on financial post-evaluation of railway construction project

1.
School of Civil Engineering and Archetecture, Central South University, Changsha 410075, China
2.
School of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, Central South University, Changsha 410075, China

More Information

Author Bio:
HANG Fei-lian (1964-), female, associate professor, 86-731-2655187, zmliu@csu.edu.cn
Received Date: 2002-11-01
Publish Date: 2003-09-25

Abstract

Abstract

Chinese policy change of transport price is mainly influenced by market factor. This paper analyzed the weakness of the method on financial post-evaluation of railway construction project. By applying the stochastic process theory to describe the passenger traffic rate and the cargo freight rate in railway respectively, the stochastic model of financial post-evaluation for railway construction project was developed. With stochastic simulation, the stochastic evaluation method was proposed. The results indicate that the stochastic evaluation method can more accurately image actual case, and will be a new method to financially post-evaluation of railway construction project objectively.
- railway engineering,
- coustruction project,
- passenger traffic rate,
- cargo freight rate,
- financial post-evaluation,
- stochastic evaluation

FullText(HTML)

References(8)

References

[1]	铁道部计划司. 铁路建设项目经济评价办法(第二版)[M]. 成都: 西南交通大学出版社, 1997.
[2]	张三力. 项目后评价[M]. 北京: 清华大学出版社, 1998.
[3]	国家计委, 建设部. 建设项目经济评价方法与参数(第二版)[M]. 北京: 中国计划出版社, 1993.
[4]	Study Team for Railway Traiff. Study for American railway traiff[J]. Chinese Railways, 2001, 40(3): 54-57. (in Chinese) https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-TLZG200103019.htm
[5]	ZHANG Fei-lian, SHI Feng. Economic risk post-evaluation for railway construction project based on frustration of transport price[J]. Journal of the China Railway Society, 2002, 24(6): 6-10. (in Chinese) https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-TDXB200206001.htm
[6]	张飞涟, 周继祖. 新建铁路项目后评价理论与应用研究报告[R]. 长沙: 中南大学, 2002.
[7]	刘次华. 随机过程[M]. 武汉: 华中理工大学出版社, 2000.
[8]	[美]艾弗列尔, 惠益民. 模拟系统的建模与分析[M]. 北京: 清华大学出版社, 1987.