WANG Fei-feng, WANG Kun, DENG Xue-jun. Integrated prediction method of nonlinear-seasonal passenger traffic income of airlines[J]. Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, 2005, 5(1): 66-69.
Citation: WANG Fei-feng, WANG Kun, DENG Xue-jun. Integrated prediction method of nonlinear-seasonal passenger traffic income of airlines[J]. Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, 2005, 5(1): 66-69.

Integrated prediction method of nonlinear-seasonal passenger traffic income of airlines

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  • Author Bio:

    WANG Fei-feng(1972-), male, PhD, 86-25-83355063, wangfeifeng@263.net

  • Received Date: 2004-10-23
  • Publish Date: 2005-03-25
  • Passenger traffic income of airlines has a dual trend of growth and seasonal fluctuation, which makes the income demonstrate a complicated nonlinear characteristic. A prediction model, based on the theory of grey prediction model GM (1, 1), was introduced to reflect the characteristic of its growth trend, a seasonal change prediction model was employed to reflect the characteristic of its seasonal fluctuation, an integrated nonlinear-seasonal prediction model of passenger traffic income of airlines was proposed. Prediction results show that the error rate of actual value and test value is less than 1%, the model is feasible.

     

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