Safe-economic decision making model of ship's avoidance routing to tropical cyclone

LIU Da-gang; WANG De-qiang; WU Zhao-lin

Volume 6 Issue 2

Turn off MathJax

Article Contents

Article Navigation > Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering > 2006 > 6(2): 94-98

Next Previous

LIU Da-gang, WANG De-qiang, WU Zhao-lin. Safe-economic decision making model of ship's avoidance routing to tropical cyclone[J]. Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, 2006, 6(2): 94-98.

Citation:

LIU Da-gang, WANG De-qiang, WU Zhao-lin. Safe-economic decision making model of ship's avoidance routing to tropical cyclone[J]. Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, 2006, 6(2): 94-98.

LIU Da-gang, WANG De-qiang, WU Zhao-lin. Safe-economic decision making model of ship's avoidance routing to tropical cyclone[J]. Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, 2006, 6(2): 94-98.

Citation:

PDF( 462 KB)

Safe-economic decision making model of ship's avoidance routing to tropical cyclone

School of Navigation, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian 116026, Liaoning, China

Received Date: 2006-03-16
Publish Date: 2006-06-25

Abstract

Abstract

In order to take TC (tropical cyclone) forecasts from different observatories into consideration, make quantitative assessment and analysis for avoiding TC routes from the views of safety and economic benefit, a new safe-economic decision making method of TC avoidance routing on ocean was put forward. The model is based on the combining forecast of TC route neural networks, the technical method to determine future TC wind and wave fields, the technical method of fuzzy information optimization, risk analysis theory and meteorological-economic decision making theory. It was applied to the simulation of MV Tianlihai's shipping on ocean. The result shows that the model can select the best plan from 7 plans, the selected plan is in accordance with the one selected by experienced captains.
- traffic safety,
- ship,
- tropical cyclone,
- avoidance routing,
- combining forecast,
- risk assessment,
- meteorological-economic decision making model

FullText(HTML)

References(8)

References

[1]	范太权. 信息融合神经网络-模糊推理理论与应用[M]. 北京: 国防工业出版社, 2002.
[2]	Liu Da-gang, Xu Dong-hua, Wu Zhao-lin. Risk degree assessment model of navigating ships on heavy sea[J]. Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, 2005, 5(3): 83-86. (in Chinese) http://transport.chd.edu.cn/article/id/200503018
[3]	黄崇福, 王家鼎. 模糊信息优化处理技术及其应用[M]. 北京: 北京航空航天大学出版社, 1995.
[4]	Liu Da-gang, Wang De-qiang. Quantitative analysis on non-accident loss of underway ship on heavy sea[J]. Journal of Dalian Maritime University, 2004, 30(3): 1-4. (in Chinese) https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-DLHS200403001.htm
[5]	沈长泗, 史国宁. 气象信息与最优经济决策导论[M]. 北京: 气象出版社, 1997.
[6]	Liu Da-gang, Li Guo-ping, Wu Zhao-lin. Application of meteorological-economic decision making theory on route choosing for navigating ships on heavy sea[J]. Navigation of China, 2004, 61(4): 1-4. (in Chinese) https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-ZGHH200404001.htm
[7]	刁在筠, 郑汉鼎, 刘家壮, 等. 运筹学[M]. 北京: 高等教育出版社, 2004.
[8]	Liu Da-gang, Li Guo-ping, Wu Zhao-lin. Utility theory and choosing the best route of by passing tropical cyclone[J]. Journal of Dalian Maritime University, 2005, 31(4): 1-4. (in Chinese) https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-DLHS200504000.htm