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ZHOU Qian, LU Hua-pu, XU Wei. Laws and models of traffic accidents[J]. Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, 2006, 6(4): 112-115.
Citation: ZHOU Qian, LU Hua-pu, XU Wei. Laws and models of traffic accidents[J]. Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, 2006, 6(4): 112-115.
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Laws and models of traffic accidents

  • Institute of Transportation Engineering, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China

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    Abstract
  • The characteristics of social economies and traffic accidents in tens of countries were studied, the traffic safety development model proposed by foreign researchers was verified with recent accident data, the applicability of the model under different motorization levels was analyzed, the development characteristics of Chinese traffic accidents were studied, the traffic accident model adapting Chinese traffic safety and motorization pattern was put forward.Analysis result indicates that the levels of traffic accidents can be explained by preliminary motorization levels in different countries, but can not be deduced by mature motorization levels, Chinese level of traffic accidents is better than most of other countries at the same level of motorization.The development stage of Chinese traffic accidents is presented, in which the level rapilly worsens, and the traffic death toll continually increases.

     

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