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Shi Xin, Huang Fang. Sustainable development model of shipping and water environment in Yangtze River valley[J]. Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, 2007, 7(1): 21-25.
Citation: Shi Xin, Huang Fang. Sustainable development model of shipping and water environment in Yangtze River valley[J]. Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, 2007, 7(1): 21-25.
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Sustainable development model of shipping and water environment in Yangtze River valley

  • School of Transportation, Shanghai Maritime University, Shanghai 200135, China

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  • Author Bio:

    Shi Xin(1966-), male, professor, +86-21-58855200, xinshi@cct.shmtu.edu.cn

  • Received Date: 2006-10-03
  • Publish Date: 2007-02-25
    Abstract
  • In order to accelerate the sustainable development of shipping and water environment in Yangtze River valley, a dynamic sustainable development model was constructed by using system analysis method and system dynamics model, the effects of different types of controlling policies and managing methods were simulated. Simulation result shows that the simulation values of sustainable development indices are close to their real values, the maximum error is 12.9%, the model can effectively simulate the sustainable development of shipping and water environment in Yangtze River valley; almost 90% of shipping pollution is usually caused by ship accidents and crew living garbages; the comprehensive development of population, water environment, shipping, industry and agriculture is helpful to improving water environment; it is the key to pay more attention to improve the management level of ship accident emergency decision.

     

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