Forecast model of expressway maintenance cost

Yu Ying; Wang Qi-lin; Tian Jin-yue

Volume 7 Issue 3

Turn off MathJax

Article Contents

Article Navigation > Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering > 2007 > 7(3): 76-79

Next Previous

Yu Ying, Wang Qi-lin, Tian Jin-yue. Forecast model of expressway maintenance cost[J]. Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, 2007, 7(3): 76-79.

Citation:

Yu Ying, Wang Qi-lin, Tian Jin-yue. Forecast model of expressway maintenance cost[J]. Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, 2007, 7(3): 76-79.

Yu Ying, Wang Qi-lin, Tian Jin-yue. Forecast model of expressway maintenance cost[J]. Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, 2007, 7(3): 76-79.

Citation:

Yu Ying, Wang Qi-lin, Tian Jin-yue. Forecast model of expressway maintenance cost[J]. Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, 2007, 7(3): 76-79.

PDF( 496 KB)

Forecast model of expressway maintenance cost

School of Automobile and Traffic Engineering, Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang 212013, Jiangsu, China

More Information

Author Bio:
Yu Ying(1957-), female, associate professor, +86-511-8791915, yuying57@hotmail.com
Received Date: 2006-12-10
Publish Date: 2007-06-25

Abstract

Abstract

In order to decrease expressway maintenance cost, the mathematic model between maintenance cost and the factors of traffic flow and road length was established by using the management theory of marginal cost, aimed at preventive maintenance and special project maintenance for asphalt pavement on expressway, the marginal cost expression of every factor was derived by using statistical method, the concepts of marginal cost of expressway maintenance management and maintenance elastic index were first expressed, and a forecast model of expressway maintenance cost was established. With the model, the elastic indices of traffic flow and road length relating to maintenance cost were calculated, and the economic indices of expressway maintenance cost relating to traffic flow were analyzed. Computation result shows that traffic flow and road length are the primary influence factors on expressway maintenance cost, there is logarithmic change relationship between road length and expressway maintenance cost, and expressway maintenance average cost decreases with traffic flow increase.
- road engineering,
- expressway,
- maintenance cost,
- cost forecast model

FullText(HTML)

References(10)

References

[1]	Chen Yin-san. Study of freeway transportation volume[J]. China Journal of Highway and Transport, 2005, 18(2): 94-98. (in Chinese) https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-ZGGL20050200I.htm
[2]	Fang Li-ping, Hipel K W, Kilgour D M. The graph model for conflict[J]. Automatic, 1987, 23(1): 112-120.
[3]	Ma Rong-guo, Liu Yan-ni. Weight value determination method of highway construction comprehensive evaluation[J]. Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, 2005, 5(2): 110-112. (in Chinese) doi: 10.3321/j.issn:1671-1637.2005.02.026
[4]	Zhu Hui, Li Pei-cai, Chen Shao-ying. Synthetic evaluation of highway network actuality[J]. Journal of Chang an University: Natural Science Edition, 2005, 25(5): 79-82. (in Chinese) doi: 10.3321/j.issn:1671-8879.2005.05.019
[5]	Wu Yu-hua, Cheng De-wen, Deng Nai-yang. Cooperative game model and algorithmto the mini mumcost allocation of transportation problem[J]. Journal of System Engineering, 1995, 10(3): 48-53. (in Chinese) https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-XTGC503.006.htm
[6]	Shi Huan-jie. Selection of alternatives for expressway maintenance[J]. Journal of Highway and Transportation Research and Development, 2001, 18(3): 15-17. (in Chinese) https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-GLJK200103003.htm
[7]	Huang Ping, Zhang Zhong-yi. Study on model and algorithm of transportation network traffic assignment problem[J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science, 1999, 7(1): 48-54. (in Chinese) https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-ZGGK199901008.htm
[8]	Wang Jian, An Shi, Xu Ya-guo. Study of bus toll model under urban road congestion pricing[J]. China Journal of Highway and Transport, 2005, 18(4): 100-103. (in Chinese). https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-ZGGL200504020.htm
[9]	周纪芗. 回归分析[M]. 上海: 华东师范大学出版社, 1993.
[10]	克雷鲍姆. 应用回归分析和其他多元方法[M]. 北京: 机械工业出版社, 2003.